Author Topic: Help pure maths question  (Read 2901 times)

Offline escapelife

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Help pure maths question
« on: May 10, 2009, 09:41:51 am »
In order to be offered a scholarship, a candidate has to pass two rounds of interview. (It is assumed that all interviewers’ decisions are independent.)

In the first round, there will be a panel of 10 interviewers and the probability of each interviewer passing a candidate is 0.9. The candidate fails to qualify for the second round if more than one interviewer decides not to pass him or her.

(i)   Find the probability that a candidate passes the first round of interview.   

In the second round, there will be a panel of 5 interviewers and the probability of each interviewer passing a candidate is 0.8. The candidate is offered a scholarship only if all interviewers pass him or her in the second round.

(ii)   Show that the probability that the candidate is offered the scholarship is 0.241, correct to three significant figures.            
                                                                               
(iii)   There are n candidates going for the interviews. Find the smallest n such that there is at least a 98% chance of 2 or more candidates being offered the scholarships.

   The panels interview 5 candidates per day for a period of 55 days. Find the probability that, on average, at least 1 candidate is offered the scholarship per day out of this period of 55 days.       



10.   The lifespan of a halogen bulb is normally distributed with mean 160 hours with standard deviation 10 hours, while the lifespan of a fluorescent bulb is normally distributed with mean 240 hours and standard deviation 12 hours. The lifespan of any bulb is independent of one another.

   (i)   A halogen bulb is randomly chosen. Find the greatest value of a, correct to three significant figures, if the probability that its lifespan lies in the range of (160-a, 160+a) is at most 0.4.   
   (ii)   Find the probability that the difference between the average lifespan of two fluorescent bulbs and twice the lifespan of a halogen bulb does not exceed 70 hours.   
   
   (iii)   The halogen bulbs are packed in boxes of n bulbs, where n is large. If there are more than 10 bulbs that have lifespans of less than 150 hours, the box will be rejected.  Using a suitable approximation, find the greatest value of  n so that the probability that a box will be rejected is less than 0.2.


11.    In a small company, the employees send an average of 1.2 print jobs to the colour printer and ? print jobs to the laser printer per day. It is assumed that these are the only two printers in the company and the print jobs are independent.

(i)   Given that on 1 in 100 working days there are no print jobs for both printers.  Show that  = 3.41 correct to 3 significant figures. 
(ii)   Find the probability that a total of 3 print jobs were sent in on a working day.   

(iii)   A typical working day consists of 8 hours of work.  Find the probability that more than half of the total print jobs sent during a typical working day occurs within the first hour of work, given that there was a total of 3 print jobs for the day.         



Offline sm

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2009, 11:10:01 am »
 ??? this is not pure math, its prob. & statistics

Offline escapelife

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2009, 02:36:46 pm »
Ya my teacher says this are questions for my Maths in A level =_=. FYI from Singapore

Offline louis

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2009, 08:37:07 am »
Escapelife, i will answer  your first question:

Let X =number of interviewers who will accept the candidate in the first round.
X¬B ( 10,  0.9 )
P(X>=9)
=P(X=9,10)
=(10)*(0.9^9)*(0.1)  +  (0.9^10)
=0.3874 +  0.3487
=0.7361

For each candidate, Probability of qualifying for scholarship
=0.7361 x ( 0.8^5)
=0.241


Let A be the number of candidates who are qualified for the scholarship from a total of n candidates

A¬ B ( n, 0.241 )
P(A>=2) >=0.98

1- P(A=0) -P(A=1)  >= 0.98

Let P(n) = 1 - (0.759)^n  -  n(0.241)(0,759)^(n-1)
Using the trial method,
n=20, p(n) =0.9704
n=21,p(n)  =0.9766
n=22,p(n)  =0.9814
The least number of n = 22

Let Y be the number of candidates accepted from the five candidates for one day

Y ¬B(5, 0.241 )
The number of days n = 55
n is larger i.e. > 30.
The binomial distribution can be approximated to normal distribution by CLT,

Let the average number of candidates accepted per day out of 55 days be R,
 mean = 5x 0.241 = 1.205
 Variance = np(1-p) /  n

             = 5 x 0.241 x0.759  / 55
             = 0.016629
 R ¬ N ( 1.205,  0.016629 )

P(R>=1) =P{ Z > (1-1.205)/ sqrt 0.016629  }

            =P{-1.5897)
            =0.944





Offline louis

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #4 on: May 20, 2009, 10:38:52 am »
Answer for Second question

Let H and F denote the lifespan of a halogen and fluorescent bulb.

H ~N ( 160, 100 )
F ~N (  240, 144 )

P ( 160 -a < H < 160 + a ) <= 0.4
P ( Z > a ) = 0.3
looking at the Normal Distribution Table,
           a = 5.24

Let 2 Fluorescent bulb be F1 and F2

The average lifespan of 2 fluorescent bulbs = ( F1 + F2 ) / 2
Twice the life span of a halogen bulb be  2 H
 Let ( F1 + F2 ) / 2 - 2 H = D

P{ l D l  < = 70 }
 =P{ -70 <= D <=  70 }
 =0.323

Let X be the number of bulbs from n halogen bulbs that have lifespan less than 150 hrs.

X ~B {  n, P(H<150) }
P(H<150) = P{Z < (150 -160) / 10 )
             = p ( Z < -1)
             = 0.1587

Since x ia large, np>5,nq>5,  x can be approximated to normal distribution,
x~N(0.1587n, 0.1587 x 0.8413 n )
x~P(0.1587n, 0.1335n  )

P(X>10 ) = P {x > 10.5 } < 0.2  ( c.c.)
P{Z > (10.5 -0.1587n)/ sqrt ( 0.1335n) }  <  0.2

(10.5 -0.1587n)/ sqrt ( 0.1335n) } > o.8416
n < 52.181

Greatest n = 52



 


Offline haix

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #5 on: May 20, 2009, 11:00:59 am »
what r the ans?

Offline louis

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #6 on: May 20, 2009, 11:30:07 am »
Ans for third question from ecapelife,

(i) 
    Let X be the number of print jobs sent to the colour printer
    Y be the number of print jobs sent to the laser printer.
   
    X + Y ~Po ( 1.2 + a )
    P(X + Y = 0 ) = 0.01
    e^-(1.2 + a ) = 0.01
    -1.2-a =  ln 0.01 =  -4.6052
           a = 3.41

(ii)  For a day,
      X + Y ~ Po ( 4.61)
      P( X + Y = 3 ) = 0.163

(iii)  In one hr,Let X ~Po (0.15)  Y ~Po(0.42625),      X + Y~ Po ( 0.57625)
      In 7 hr, let A~Po ( 1.05 )  B ~Po ( 2.98375),      A + B  ~ Po ( 4.03375)

      Probability required
      =  ( Prob of 2 jobs in first hr, 1 job in next 7 hr ) + ( prob of 3 jobs in first hr, no job in next 7 hrs )
           -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  Prob of 3 jobs in a day
      = P ( X + Y =2) x P ( A + B = 1 )  +  P( x + Y = 3 ) X P ( A + B = 0 )
         ---------------------------------------------------------------
                                  0.1625

      =0.09331 x 0.07143     +    0.01792 x 0.01771
        -------------------------------------------
                                  0.1625
      = 0.0430
« Last Edit: May 20, 2009, 11:32:03 am by louis »

Offline escapelife

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #7 on: May 20, 2009, 12:20:18 pm »
Loius how can i repay you  ??? ??? ??? ???
Thank you very so much for your help! I waited quite long for someone to help me. Was it difficult to do?

Offline ocean

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #8 on: May 26, 2009, 06:50:42 pm »
are you sure these questions are even a part of our syllabus? :o  cudnt get half of them ??? ???
if they are can you please tell where they are from? i mean from which past papers or book?

Offline candy

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #9 on: May 26, 2009, 09:13:56 pm »
what paper r u giving in math??  :o :o
i never came across such questions!
my paper 3 exam is in 2 days..this is scaring me...where'd u get this question from?? ??? ???

Offline siddiss

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #10 on: May 27, 2009, 04:37:08 am »
escapelife...which paper of pure maths is it??? i see normal distribution and stuffs uno

Offline escapelife

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Re: Help pure maths question
« Reply #11 on: May 30, 2009, 01:39:48 pm »
Sorry to reply very slow bcoz i was very busy! And this are papers from Singapore A Levels different schools prelim papers.