Qualification > Math

CIE statistic2 doubts! Help please

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Tohru Kyo Sohma:

--- Quote from: ~Alpha on July 31, 2011, 12:10:06 pm ---Oh yes, I forgot this part. ;D

It's ln, not In. Log e to the base of e. See on a scientific calculator. Chapter ref.: logarithms. :)
http://www.chem.tamu.edu/class/fyp/mathrev/mr-log.html

--- End quote ---
ok
i did question 8....i got part a but not part b
this is how i did it
(a)1 sec=1 particle
therefore for 4 sec =4 particles
X~Po(4)
P(X=0 or 1)=e^-4 +e^-4 *4
                =0.091
(b)P(X=0 or 1)=0.8
     e^-n +e^-n *n =0.8
       
this is all i got

Alpha:

--- Quote from: Tohru Kyo Sohma on July 31, 2011, 12:23:45 pm ---ok
i did question 8....i got part a but not part b
this is how i did it
(a)1 sec=1 particle
therefore for 4 sec =4 particles
X~Po(4)
P(X=0 or 1)=e^-4 +e^-4 *4
                =0.091
(b)P(X=0 or 1)=0.8
     e^-n +e^-n *n =0.8
       
this is all i got

--- End quote ---

Hm... yes, I got that too. You can use iteration for that, but I don't think it's used in Stats, I never did, at least.  :-\
I'll think about another way to do it and let you know.

Tohru Kyo Sohma:

--- Quote from: ~Alpha on July 31, 2011, 02:22:51 pm ---Hm... yes, I got that too. You can use iteration for that, but I don't think it's used in Stats, I never did, at least.  :-\
I'll think about another way to do it and let you know.

--- End quote ---
interation?
never heard of it
thanks alot alpha for your help!

Alpha:

--- Quote from: Tohru Kyo Sohma on July 31, 2011, 02:33:37 pm ---interation?
never heard of it
thanks alot alpha for your help!

--- End quote ---

Iteration. It's making n subject, and replacing with subsequent values obtained.
http://www.projectalevel.co.uk/as_a2_maths/iteration

But no, I don't think it can be used here... there must be some other way out.

You're always welcome. :)

Tohru Kyo Sohma:
i have a few doubts here
Qns.1 the number of goals scored by a football team during a season gave the following results.
      _____________________________________________________
      Number of goals per match     0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7
       Number of matches              5  19 9  5  2  1  0  1
      _____________________________________________________
Calculate the mean and variance of the distribution.Calculate also the relative frequencies and the theoretical probabilities for x=0,1,2,3,4,5,6,>=7 ,assuming a Poisson distribution with the same mean.Do you think, in light of your calculations, that the Poisson distribution provides a suitable model for the number of goals per match?


Qns.2 The number of cars passing a given point in 100 10-second intervals was observed as follows.
          _________________________________________
          Number of cars       0   1   2   3   4   5
          Number of intervals  47 33 16  3   0   1
         _________________________________________
        Do you think that a Poisson distribution is a suitable model?


Qns.3 When a large number of flashlights leaving a factory is inspected it is found that the bulb is faulty in 1% of the flashlights and the switch is                   
        faulty in 1.5% of them.Assuming that the faults occur independently and at random,find
      (a)the probability that a sample of 10 flashlights contain no flashlights with a faulty bulb,
      (b)the probability that a sample of 80 flashlights contains at least one flashlight with both a defective bulb and a defective switch,
      (c)the probability that a sample of 80 flashlights contains more than two defective flashlights.


so these are my doubts
the answers to them are below
1. 1.71,1.97;
    0.12,0.45,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.18,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.002
    Poisson distribution is not suitable

2. mean=0.79,variance=0.87
    theoretical probabilities 0.45,0.36,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.001. Yes.

3.(a)0.904  (b)0.0119  (c)0.320

this question below,i know how to do but im a lttle confused since poisson distribution is not possible
qns.there are 5000  students in a university.Calculate the probabilty that exactly 15 of them have their birthday on 1 january, by using a suitable   Poisson distribution
here i calculate np>5 therefore poisson distribution is not possible
but the text gives answer for it 0.0965

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